538 Polls 2024 Forecast Polls. On average, when looking at the 2006 through 2022 elections, a version of our forecast that uses just polls and fundamentals predicts the wrong winner in contested house. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and american society.
Donald trump and electoral college map. See the current state of the race, the electoral votes change from 2020,.